Sports Betting Truth

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  1. Spanky Sports Bettor
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Sports Gambling Advantage Player. Some may call me a professional sports gambler. Expertise in sports gambling, but will also upload the occasional video about diet/fitness, cooking, travel,. Sports betting is a lot of fun, and it’s one of the main reasons why it’s so popular. It’s a form of entertainment like any other, and losing money on wagers is simply the cost of that entertainment.

We remember when the idea of sports betting made people feel uncomfortable. This might surprise you, depending on your age, but it wasn’t actually that long ago. People would associate sports betting with very negative connotations. Anyone who bet on sports was basically considered a degenerate.

Thankfully, the general attitude to sports betting has changed a lot over the years. Sure, there are still some people who think it’s wrong, but they are in the minority now. Sports betting is finally starting to be considered a socially acceptable pastime.

One result of this change in attitude is that sports betting gets talked about a lot more. People can discuss it freely, without worrying about being judged. That means there’s a lot more available information on the subject. There are many websites dedicated to sports betting, for example, and even the major sports outlets cover sports betting extensively.

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It’s great that sports betting is mainstream now, and that there’s plenty of available information. There’s a slight downside too though. A lot of the information that’s out there isn’t entirely accurate. Some of it isn’t even CLOSE to being accurate.

We think it’s important that you know the truth about sports betting before you get started. There are some facts that you should know, and some myths that you shouldn’t believe. That’s why we we’ve written this article. We separate the fact from the fiction, so that you know exactly what you’re getting into.

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Have you ever made a bet on something that you thought was a sure thing, only to find out that it wasn’t quite as sure as you hoped? Most sports bettors have had this experience.

The possibility of finding a sure thing is just one of the five myths of sports betting I expose in this article. Don’t blindly believe anything in sports betting that’s presented as 100% true. Learn how to look at everything from more than one angle and it’ll improve your results next time you wager on a sports game.

1 – Always Bet on Home Underdogs

At one time, the advice to bet on home underdogs was good. But that time passed a long time ago. The sportsbooks are constantly learning and improving their lines, and they figured out that some bettors were getting an advantage by picking underdogs playing at home.

The sportsbooks started adjusting their lines to eliminate the ability to blindly make these bets and profit. You can still find value in some home underdogs, but if you bet these games blindly, you’re not going to do any better than throwing darts at a betting sheet to pick winners.

I end up on the underdog side of most games I bet on because of the way I handicap games. The books are better at setting tight lines than ever before, but most professional sports have a closer talent spread than college sports, so the best teams in the league aren’t as much better than the weakest teams as most bettors think.

When you do a good job of handicapping upcoming games in professional sports, it’s easier to find value on underdogs because of the small talent gap. In other words, the underdog has a better chance of performing better than the favorite. The dog might still lose the game, but when they outperform their expectation, you can find value.

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I don’t find this to be as true in NCAA sports. The talent gap between the top and bottom teams is often huge. This is why teams like Alabama in football and Duke in basketball continue to destroy weak teams. The third string players on Alabama are still better than the starters at smaller schools.

Bringing this back to betting on home underdogs, you should always look at these games to see if you can find value. Home teams as a whole do better than road teams, but you still have to find a line that offers value if you want to make a long-term profit.

2 – Always Bet Against the Public

The truth is that the general betting public is terrible at picking games. Many bettors simply bet on their favorite teams with no thought to the line, or they can’t see the weaknesses on their favorite team so they think their team is better than they really are.

The betting public also tends to have a bias toward the most popular teams, so they bet more on the favorites.

When these two things happen, the betting volume can be so big that it moves the lines enough that you think you see value. But what you often miss is the sharp sports bettors who bet early and can move the lines before the public corrects them.

If all of this sounds confusing, it’s because it is confusing. Figuring out how to be a winning sports bettor is one of the most challenging things in gambling. The sportsbooks sit back and make money because the average gambler wins half the time, so the book collects vig from the losing side.

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Many times, the value is betting against the public, but it’s not as simple as always betting against them. You still have to learn how to handicap games well enough to find value in the available lines.

3 – Avoid Placing Bets With Local Bookies

This piece of advice is usually attached to something about safety and legality. While both safety and legality are important things to consider, let’s look at each of them individually where local bookies are concerned.

Is it safe to place bets with a local bookie? The answer depends on several factors.

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I’ve never been stiffed by a local bookie, but I only bet with ones who I have a working relationship with. The way I built a relationship was through recommendations from other sports bettors I trust.

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I asked other sports bettors where they place their bets then asked for an introduction to their bookies. In other words, I spent some time making sure it was relatively safe to bet with the bookie before making a bet. I also never bet so much in one place that getting stiffed is going to kill me.

You can find local bookies in most areas that are safe to place bets with. People tend to think that placing bets with books owned by big companies is safe, but big companies go under and stiff people all the time. The local bookie has a good reason to play an honest game because if someone gets mad at him, he might find local law enforcement at his door.

Before I discuss the legality of betting with a local bookie, I want to make it clear that I’m not an attorney and I don’t offer legal advice. This site doesn’t offer legal advice either. You need to ask an attorney or lawyer if you have legal concerns where gambling is involved.

It’s true that bookies operate illegally in some areas. In other areas, what they do is in a legal gray area. But have you ever thought about the legality of the March Madness office pool you play in every year? If bookies are doing something illegal, then so are you.

Where I live, it’s technically illegal to bet on sports. This includes betting between two friends, betting in an office pool, and placing bets with a bookie. But all of these things have been going on for years and no one does anything about them. Does this make it legal?

Probably not, but a good lawyer may be able to work with the question of whether it’s really a law if no one enforces it. But it does mean that it’s probably at least as safe as walking across the street.

The biggest bookie in my area for years worked part time at the courthouse. The biggest NCAA basketball pool was run out of the courthouse in the next county over for years. Once again, this doesn’t make it legal, but it does speak to how casual gambling is accepted in many communities.

4 – Lower Vig Is Always Better

In order to be a winning sports bettor you have to use every tactic and trick you can to increase your profits. This usually includes finding ways to make bets with reduced vig or no vig.

If the line is the same at one book that has 110 to 100 bets, and at another place that has 105 to 100, you’re better off making the 105 to 100 bet.

The problem is that the lines aren’t always the same. What’s the best thing to do if you have the two following betting options? Your handicapping shows that the home team should win by six.

At one book, you have to bet 110 to win 100 and you give four points. At another book, you have to bet 107 to win 100 but have to give five and a half points. Which betting option is the most profitable?

The answer can vary from situation to situation, but I think it’s clear that the lowest vig isn’t the only factor you need to consider.

5 – You Can Find Sure Thing Wagers

The holy grail of sports betting is the sure thing. Every bettor wants to find a sure bet so they can lock in a 100% guaranteed profit.

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The problem is that there’s no such thing in sports betting. It simply doesn’t exist. The closest one can get is a fixed race or match, but even these can go wrong.

Sports Betting Truth Live

You might think the moneyline bet on a huge favorite is for sure, but David does beat Goliath sometimes. As soon as you find yourself thinking that a bet is guaranteed, you need to immediately stop and take a step back. It’s simply not worth the risk.

Conclusion

The list of absolutes in gambling is small. When you start digging into the facts and math behind many things presented as absolutes, you find the flaws in the reasoning. This is such an important aspect to learn as a gambler that you should instantly be skeptical of anything presented as a fact 100% of the time.

You can use some things that seem to be true all of the time in your sports betting and handicapping, but as you learned in this article, there’s no such thing as a guaranteed win in gambling.

Sports Betting Truth

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